Converting College Football Point Spreads Using Moneyline Calculator

Before we’ve talked about how to bet on NCAAF and a single option is money lines. If you aren’t familiar with this kind of wagering, it is only betting on who you believe will win the match outright. This means there isn’t any point spread. The danger involved is corrected based on the gambling line, or the odds of each team winning the match.
Let’s look at an illustration. There is A favorite around -151. What this line says is that you must bet $151 for each $100 you want to win. The reverse is true for when betting in an underdog. A puppy that is 3-point would have a line around +124. Here you would win $124 for each $100 you bet if this team wins the game outright.
Now that you know the most elementary idea of handicapping NCAA football, the question you need to be asking is,”Are moneyline bets profitable?” I’ve researched over 17,000 NCAA soccer games to try and discover the solution.
The graphs below show two different money lines. The”anticipated moneyline” represents a mix Directly win percentage of each game in each situation at the line awarded. It’s converted from a percentage to a cash line. The”actual moneyline” reveals the typical line that a publication would place at each disperse (e.g. -3 is generally -124).
Comparing those numbers we could see if the bets are profitable. As you will see, there are some situations which have been rewarding, but most are not.
By way of example, at your normal sportsbook, a popular of -5 could have a moneyline of all -204. As our history shows, the actual value of 5-point favorites is just -164. You’re paying far too much juice. On the flip side, favorites of -5.5 possess an advantage of -241 to -214 (anticipated vs. actual, respectively).

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