Point/Counterpoint: Notre Dame vs Louisville – Free NCAAF Betting Picks


Notre Dame (9) vs Louisville
Monday, September 2 nd, 8:00 PM in Cardinal Stadium
Swinging Johnson: This week Doug Upstone and leave our school football selections on the Monday night game between the Louisville Cardinals and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and then that I shall deviate from our regularly scheduled plan of NFL debate to dip our feet into uncharted waters.
It will almost certainly be the first and only time this year we do this, as the previous week of display NFL soccer is somewhat lackluster in comparison to a regular-season sport of NCAA football featuring one of the greatest clubs in the nation, plus a mythical soccer program to boot up, Notre Dame.
Without further ado, lets start the debate after my buddy Doug Upstone got the better of me last week with a wager about the Steelers while the Titans were backed by me. Weve been placing wins forth and back so it looks like it is my turn to get the golden wreath, as I heartily endorse the Irish and will accompany the squares laying the lumber that is heavy on a public street favorite.
After reviewing the school football odds almost six days before this Monday night event, I see the lineup has spiked a half-point about the favorite, starting at Notre Dame -19 1/2 to where its now offered in a solid -20 across the board whatsoever of the best online sportsbooks.
Youre currently leaning on the Cardinals in this battle although doug, I love the Irish. Apart from the venue, why is it that you think Louisville could hang with the boys?
Doug Upstone: Yes at least and a win IMO, said a great deal about the Steelers and Titans management. Lets move to real soccer, so will our records on this one and where the matches rely.
Remember those Thursday night games Louisville utilized to perform against competitions? They held their own and engineered upsets. These were fun games and also the Cardinals were a thrilling golf club.
However, such as the former Papa Johns Stadium and its counterfeit (in real life) proprietor, Louisville soccer last season was worse than a three-day-old pizza.
Scott Satterfield worked miracles at Appalachian State and are out win games and to change the civilization. This wont happen immediately as the ability level is down in theVille. Yet this is a time for Louisville, a group which has the chance to begin taking steps.
I have read in which the Cards trainers have sped up the slow mechanics of QB Jawon Pass (great name for a QB) and that I like Hassan Hall because the lead running back. Than having a ticket for the Colts at OVER 9 for season 23, the defense, well, that makes me more nervous. You have up your Irish please do tell.
Swinging Johnson: The Cardinals wont be doing as the Notre Dame defense will keep them cozy in their nest, flying into this match. Scott Satterfield is in the big leagues and he has a group this past year, where they went winless coming off of a dismal record. This rebuild is akin to trying to turn it in an F-22 Raptor and taking a hot air balloon.
While this may eventually occur, the problem is that Louisville is confronting a team that made it into the CFP last year and possessed only one of the stingiest defenses in all of college football, devoting only 17.2 points within the normal season and going a perfect 12-0 until they fulfilled Clemson in the CFP semifinals. The offense was clicking on all cylinders also, averaging over 33 points per game.
My question is, how will be a quarterback like traveling who is slow to release, designed to obtain some traction against a shield? Particularly when he is working with a new coach and an offensive scheme that is entirely new?
Please, Doug, rescue me Im lost! I find no way, shape or form in which Louisville will be able to keep pace and Im desperate for the ancestral wisdom and prodigious handicapping experience!
Doug Upstone: Well, Swinger, Im happy to see in your last sentence youre coming around to the glowing side of sports betting, or youre just being the exact same shrewd a** you are. I will allow the SBR readers who are currently making that is decided on by college football picks. I am the first to understand Louisville sucked and was 1-11 ATS, although not only 2-10 final season.
Like he gave up on the Atlanta Falcons but that staff COMPLETELY gave up on coach Bobby Petrino. A new coach brings a new mindset on creating a statement and with this being a national game, his team will be sold by Satterfield. Louisville does need to trust they will not be taken by that the Irish for granted and not have a lot of fight.
Lets also consider, Brian Kelly with gold and all the blue is simply 10-13-1 ATS as a road favorite, also a ATS when dishing out more or 20 digits. That defense you mentioned might improve as the season progresses but substituting five starters, if you dont/can not recruit like Clemson or even Bama, it is going to take some time.
Swinging Johnson: Well Doug, I was a bit facetious because though youve got an handicapping restart, you miss the mark from time to time. And in this scenario, because Louisville could be better than last year but Id submit that they could be coached with a Rhesus monkey and improve upon their record left by an coach like Petrino, you happen to be shooting blanks.
I know that placing nearly three touchdowns on the street is square biz for certain along with Joe Q. Public never got rich by gambling the heavy street chalk, but at times the general public is right, and also in this situation they certainly are. Until once we get back on our NFL Game of the Week, next week, let us see what happens on Monday night when the Irish come prepared to rumble in Louisville.
Free College Football Pick: Swinging Johnson — Notre Dame -20 (-110)
Free College Football Pick: Doug Upstone — Louisville +20 (-110)

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Extracting Value From the Rebuilding Boston Bruins

With the Patriots success without Tom Brady and the Red Sox on their way to the match, expectations for New England’s hockey team will be extremely high — and unless they overachieve, Bruins backers will more than likely be disappointed with the merchandise Cam Neely has built for the upcoming season. Expect head coach Claude Julien’s buttocks to be implanted firmly in the hot seat this year because his job safety may be in question when the Bruins fail to make the playoffs for the third straight year.
Boston missed the playoffs by only three points a year after finishing a respectable 93 points but made a few improvements into a roster with more than its share of rust. Zdeno Chara is far from the Norris winner that he was as he’s now on the wrong side of 40 and Tuukka Rask made serious regressions at a 2015-16 effort that saw him finish outside the top 20 in save percentage.
If this team is to succeed, it will have to score and score a lot, something I’m not sure it’s capable of. Past the first line of Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron and David Backes — who had a combined 90 goals and 173 points in 2015-16 — there is not a ton of goal-scoring experience on this roster. The projected second and third lines for Boston combined to score only 73 goals for their respective teams last season.
Stanley Cup +2500
The main question here is really this — can a group with a single strong line, no protection and a struggling Tuukka Rask make the playoffs and win four straight seven-game series? I have some serious doubts and unless Rask yields to Vezina form, this still-rebuilding team has essentially no chance to win a second Cup this year.
Another hit to the Bruins’ Stanley Cup chances is that only one team in the past twenty years has missed the playoffs and then proceeded on to win the Cup the next year.
Eastern Conference +1200
For almost a decade, if you wanted to gauge how your team piled up at the Eastern Conference, you used the Bruins as a benchmark. They earned conference titles in 2010-11 and 2012-13 and maintained stacking their system by trading celebrities like Joe Thornton, Phil Kessel and Tyler Seguin. This paradigm, however, has changed as Boston is currently rebuilding and attempting to shed some of their dead weight now holding down the team.
Making the Stanley Cup final and winning a third conference title in the last seven years will have a miraculous run that I am not sure this group is up for.
Atlantic Division +650
The Tampa Bay Lightning will be the complete class of the Atlantic Division right now and it’s going to be a hard task for any team — let alone the Bruins — to finish the season ahead of Steven Stamkos and the Bolts.
Boston’s final division title came back in the 2013-14 season when the Bruins finished atop the Atlantic in the first year of the most recent division realignment that saw that the Detroit Red Wings join the Eastern Conference. The Bruins also finished the season with the most points in the league this year, earning the Presidents’ Trophy — that’s something this team will not be doing.
Point complete OVER/UNDER 93.5
BetOnline appears to be directly on the ball with those OVER/UNDER point totals and I haven’t really found any that I really love or see much value gambling. As previously mentioned, Boston had just 93 points annually and didn’t find much tangibly worse or better in almost any category. If you put a gun to my head, I would say UNDER due to the parity I feel will exist one of the teams fighting for the wild-card playoff places this season.
Brad Marchand to Fight the League in Goal Scoring +2500
Boston will somehow need to make up for the 30 goals they lost if Loui Eriksson signed with the Vancouver Canucks in the offseason and Brad Marchand could be the beneficiary. It’s a clear long shot with guys like Patrick Kane and Alex Ovechkin still in their primes, but Marchand ended sixth in the Maurice”Rocket” Richard Trophy race last season with his career-high 37 goals just 13 back of Ovi’s league-leading 50 and he’s still playing alongside elite playmaker Patrice Bergeron, who appears to improve every year.
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Colts vs Buccaneers: Week 14 NFL Picks & Game Predictions

It is a little bit of an odd program around the NFL in that there are currently featuring an AFC club meeting with an NFC one. One is Pittsburgh in Arizona and then theres this one using the Colts seeing the Bucs.
Being in conferences, theres not a great deal of history between the teams as theyve played with a total of 13 times including two if the Colts were in Baltimore. The Colts won the latest meeting in 2015 in the dwelling and lead 8-5. Indy has been trained Tampa Bay from Lovie Smith and by Chuck Pagano subsequently. Pagano is now the defensive coordinator in Smith along with Chicago the head coach in Illinois.
Theres that is Bucs head coach Bruce Arians and a single current coaching tie between the franchises. He got his head coaching debut in 2012 if Pagano was sidelined as a result of illness. Arians headed the team to a 9-3 record but those wins and losses move on Paganos restart because he was an interim trainer. Arians would be hired as the Cardinals head trainer for the 2013 season and remained there through 2017when heretired. That lasted until the Bucs lured him.
Indianapolis sits third in the AFC South and in the AFC standings, two behind Houston and one supporting Tennessee. Long story short this team makes the playoffs.
They may be 8-4 When the Colts needed a kicker that is different. Their man is one of the very best in league history Adam Vinatieri and a future Hall of Famer. But Vinatieri has been 46 years old and has showed it with eight field objectives and six efforts. Because Kris Brown missed 17 those 14 kisses that are missed are the most in the NFL. Vinatieri has made an NFL-record 599 field goals in his profession.
Vinatieri spoke about stopping earlier this season but has been talked out of it. This writer is surprised that the Colts have not worked out kickers this week — maybe they did following this writing — because Vinatieri had been 1-for-4 on field goals in Sundays 31-17 home loss to the Titans. Two were obstructed, such as one returned to 63 yards which was returned for the touchdown for about five minutes. This was the fourth loss in the past five games of Indy.
While QB Jacoby Brissett has just had a great season stepping in for the retired Andrew Luck, theres just so much Brissett may perform. He had been No. 1 receiver at T.Y. Hilton and top running back in Marlon Mack from the Titans. Rookie receiver Parris Campbell and tight end Eric Ebron are outside. Thats a joint 1,155 yards receiving, 914 yards and 15 touchdowns.
The huge issue entering this year for Tampa Bay has been that the future of former No. 1 overall choice Jameis Winston as hes playing his fifth-year rookie alternative. Therefore, the Bucs could need to slap the franchise tag on him later this season, re-sign him let him walk.
Winston turns the ball over way too much with a 20 interceptions and eight fumbles, however theres no doubt he is talented. Winston is second in the NFL with 3,659 yards passing and tied for sixth with 22 TD passes. He has arguably the best receiving duo in the NFL in breakout star Chris Godwin and Mike Evans. Godwin has 74 grabs for 1,121 yards and 2 scores and Evans 66 for both 1,096 and seven TDs.
Tampas issue remains lack of a running game and a porous pass defense. That said, the Bucs have won three of four beating bad teams Arizona, Atlanta and Jacksonville. Because Tampa defense forced four turnovers, with a single fumble returned by rookie linebacker Devin White to get a TD and also a 15-0 first-quarter lead it had been 28-11 on Sunday at the Jaguars. Over the previous two months, White has had two sacks, an interception which fumble returned for a touchdown.
Winston was quiet with 268 yards and no TDs. He did lose 1 fumble but no choices. Peyton Barber had two TD runs. He normally was supporting Ronald Jones of late, but Jones was benched in the third quarter for lacking an assignment.
Indianapolis is simply too to trust and surely do not trust Vinatieri. basketball computer picks simulations I have run have Tampa Bay winning 27-23, but we advocate buying down to -2.5 to become secure.
Free NFL Pick: Bucs -3 (purchase down to -2.5) in Sports Interaction.


This weekend, we have a 12-fight card with 2 title fights in Toronto, Canada. We’re back to using PPV sized competitions on DraftKings this week and there are some solid GPPs to chase this week. The main GPP is a $10 entrance with $25,000 to 1st place. These are always my favourite contests to chase so I will be shooting some shots in that. Other than that, I will adhere to my 3-entry max & solitary entry GPPs. I will also be picking up H2Hs throughout the week and I will get a good quantity of play in games. With that said, here are a few plays I like this week in Addition to my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of the week — Joanna Jedrzejczyk ($6,800)
JJ might be the easiest money game punt of all time at $6.8k. The line for Fight Goes To Conclusion is now -195 and when we’re getting 5-rounds out of JJ using all the striking volume she puts out then we have a good floor there and it doesn’t matter if she wins or loses. At the cost she allows you to cover up for a few heavy favorites and when we could get 4 other spots to win using a ~40-point loss from JJ within our lineup then we will be sitting quite pretty in our money games this weekend.
GPP play of the week — Thiago Santos ($8,800)
Fight Doesn’t Go To Conclusion is presently lined at -495 for this battle. The most probable outcome is that somebody in this struggle gets knocked out within 15-minutes. With that knock-out probably comes at least one 10-point knock down. If that can be from the 1st round, then you are currently at 100-points even if it’s just the 1st punch/kick of the night. At $8.8k that’s more than sufficient to give you a chance at 1st place at a GPP. Thiago is your favorite in this struggle and Manuwa is 38-years old today, so he can’t have a lot of time in the match left. I believe we function together with the favored here and throw him into our GPP lineups and then await the fireworks.
Underdog play of this week — Matthew Lopez ($7,300)
Matthew Lopez is my underdog of the week because of his wrestling/grappling possible. I think he’s a underdog here. Lopez dropped his last 2 fights by knockout, so that is what I would worry about most with him Brad Katona is probably the better striker of the two but he has never knocked anybody out, so I think we’ve got a good floor here at $7.3k even though this fight does stay standing because I don’t watch Katona knocking Lopez out. I think Lopez is most likely the better wrestler of both though and I believe he lands several takedowns in this fight and can win a decision with a wrestling-heavy game plan. Lopez lands 3.13 takedowns each 15-minutes at a 57 percent precision, and when he’s becoming bogged up on the toes I am certain that he will be going for much more than that here. At $7.3k I think Lopez makes for a solid play in all formats and that I think he has a split decision win here since the street underdog.
Fade of the week — Katlyn Chookagian ($8,700)
I’m fading a few fighters this week , but the person I never considered using was Katlyn Chookagian. It’s not that I don’t believe she can win, because she for certain could, and I believe she does. But I don’t see her paying off an $8.7k DK salary with a win. I believe we would require a complete from her in this fight to receive 10x that salary and I think that’s quite unlikely to take place. Or, she’ll want FightMetric to count all her screams as important strikes. The most Chookagian has ever scored in a UFC fight up to now in her career is 83 DK points and that was contrary to Irene Aldana who places a much greater rate than Jessica Eye does. Even though she could get 83-points here then still would not be sufficient here to place her at the winning lineup in her $8.7k price label. I think if you are making 20 or less lineups that Saturday you may safely fade Chookagian and if she gets a triumph it should not hurt much.
Thanks for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If you would like my full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle on the card and provide my entire DraftKings evaluation, as well as all of my select predictions, you’ll find that for just $7.99 at this link below:

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